Last Year's Shots
12 years ago
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
I Want to Vomit
I am completely disgusted with the manner that this debate has been moderated. Very lop sided and I have grown to question this nation’s democracy. My thought is, that our nation’s democracy goes only as far as the media wants it to. Disgusting, I think I’ll go shove my finger down my throat to be rid of this nausea.
My Bet on John McCain
5 Buck says McCain brings up the "bridge to nowhere" and "I will veto every pork barel bill that crosses my desk."
30 Mins Into the Debate
I like Anderson Cooper. I do, but when is Congressman Paul going to be asked a question? Maybe it’s me, but between Romney and McCain’s smug smirks and Anderson’s avoidance makes one wonder if the front runners really are decided by the media.
Also, anyone else think that John McCain is way too monotonous and completely borring to listen to?
Also, anyone else think that John McCain is way too monotonous and completely borring to listen to?
John Edwards and Rudy Giuliani
It’s a shame that John Edwards has dropped out of the race. With no mediator between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, we all will be forced to endure more bickering and negative ads. The very thing the Democrats prided themselves against in the beginning of the primary season.
Also with Giuliani out of the race, the era of 911 politics has come to an end, hopefully. I do not see John McCain or Mitt Romney being as bad as Rudy Giuliani, yet they still attempt to inject fear as a means of governing. Even with that being said, I believe Rudy Giuliani owes the debate watchers in the Republican party an apology for his use of 911 more then one hundred times through out the debates.
With the CNN’s Super Tuesday Republican Debate tonight, there should be more time to more evenly distribute the questions. Ron Paul may actually get more speaking time. For those of you that are in the dark, Mitt Romney was given four times the speaking time at the MSNBC time, as NBC attempted to marginalize Ron Paul's candidacy. We all knows the circumstances will not change or will CNN hold a debate with honor? I suspect they will be more honorable then MSNBC.
Make sure you watch it, on CNN at 8pm EST. Get informed or who you are voting for.
Also with Giuliani out of the race, the era of 911 politics has come to an end, hopefully. I do not see John McCain or Mitt Romney being as bad as Rudy Giuliani, yet they still attempt to inject fear as a means of governing. Even with that being said, I believe Rudy Giuliani owes the debate watchers in the Republican party an apology for his use of 911 more then one hundred times through out the debates.
With the CNN’s Super Tuesday Republican Debate tonight, there should be more time to more evenly distribute the questions. Ron Paul may actually get more speaking time. For those of you that are in the dark, Mitt Romney was given four times the speaking time at the MSNBC time, as NBC attempted to marginalize Ron Paul's candidacy. We all knows the circumstances will not change or will CNN hold a debate with honor? I suspect they will be more honorable then MSNBC.
Make sure you watch it, on CNN at 8pm EST. Get informed or who you are voting for.
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
Florida and The Upcoming Debate
The test has come and Rudy Giuliani is sitting nervously, tapping his chair with his foot. Looking down at his desk, rolling his pencil back and forth, desperately avoiding the inevitable bell that will soon ring, can he make a showing? With hints that Mike Huckabee and Rudy Giuliani dropping out of the race, will the two candidates attend tomorrow’s CNN Super Tuesday debate? If they plan to drop out, I highly encourage that the two do not eat away at precious debate time from the remaining candidates.
Lets face it, Rudy Giuliani’s campaign is broke, his coffers depleted on the Florida primary. With his inevitable poor showing, the only option to be had, is that of dropping out of the race. Will he selfishly take up debate time?
Mike Huckabee, like Giuliani’s campaign, is also scraping bottom. With a surprise showing in Iowa, all the remaining states has barely helped him out. If he would’ve had a strong showing through fundraising, he would be able to continue to compete. Yet, he didn’t so will he continue further with the campaign?
Will we receive the news from the campaigns tonight, on whether they are staying in? Will the continue to waste debate time with lame jokes about Easter eggs and the phrase 911.
I guess we shall see. I am no pundit and am not an expert. This is all speculation.
Lets face it, Rudy Giuliani’s campaign is broke, his coffers depleted on the Florida primary. With his inevitable poor showing, the only option to be had, is that of dropping out of the race. Will he selfishly take up debate time?
Mike Huckabee, like Giuliani’s campaign, is also scraping bottom. With a surprise showing in Iowa, all the remaining states has barely helped him out. If he would’ve had a strong showing through fundraising, he would be able to continue to compete. Yet, he didn’t so will he continue further with the campaign?
Will we receive the news from the campaigns tonight, on whether they are staying in? Will the continue to waste debate time with lame jokes about Easter eggs and the phrase 911.
I guess we shall see. I am no pundit and am not an expert. This is all speculation.
So Glad The Clinton's Lost
I know that this comes a few days late, yet I must say, I am so glad Barack Obama won the South Carolina primary. By won, as you all very well know, was defined by a 28 percent margin. I am not a Democrat so this does not affect me really. It’s just that I felt what the Clintons did with the South Carolina primary on the horizon, was uncalled for. It showed they are willing to pit people against one another (or so they thought) for their own personal gain.
I know it is more unlikely in today’s Florida primary for a victory to emerge in favor of Barack Obama. With a trailing polling deficit of 24 percent, victory will be extremely difficult. One could only hope that people could see through the Clinton machine for who they really are.
-- Topher Lloyd
I know it is more unlikely in today’s Florida primary for a victory to emerge in favor of Barack Obama. With a trailing polling deficit of 24 percent, victory will be extremely difficult. One could only hope that people could see through the Clinton machine for who they really are.
-- Topher Lloyd
Saturday, January 26, 2008
Fiat Money Chasing Oil
***Parts have been ammended for clarity, although not affect the point***
Many of you have asked me what makes me think I know what I am talking about when I was refering to monetary policy. (Yes, I didnt write for two years and deleted all prior posts despite supporting my current opinions) I just submitted this to the Paul campaign as of 2:53 AM:
Dr. Paul, please I want you and everyone reading this, to correct me if I am wrong. I am an international finance major, who studied under (name omitted) at the University of Colorado at Boulder, who was a study of Milton Friedman at the University of Chicago. Although I disagree with a lot of what he (omitted professor) teaches, I believe in his monetary policy. We currently had a fiat standard, meaning our dollar chases the most traded commodity. I am a believer in the oil standard theory. Without oil, it would be coffee. Our dollar is currently pegged to oil, so all the other countries that have pegged their dollar to the U.S. dollar are being screwed. Not to mention OPEC who is currently mandated by their own laws to trade only in US dollars. So to keep demand for dollars high, we must keep the price of oil high, because if the price oil of falls, in dollars, our US dollar will collapse because it is artificially inflated by the mandate to trade in US dollars.
Currently our dollar is falling and they are begging to trade in Euros but are not allowed. Thus the reason why the US dollar AND gold are at all time highs.
I believe that bringing us back to a gold standard is correct. Yet some in the free markets see that our dollar is chasing the highest traded commodity. I do not see this as correct. Especially since we, through taxes pay close to nine dollars more a gallon in the mere instance to protect our shipments from pirates and other hostile governments.
There’s a reason why Europe pays more per gallon and its not because they pay the taxes to protect shipments. With Oil speculations at the rate they are and gold approaching $1000 dollars a day……… when I was in college, gold was worth its weight in pot. Now pot is cheaper then gold. But…… If we go off an oil standard to a coffee standard, how would American consumers survive? If not coffee, sugar. If not sugar, ink….. which the fed uses to print money.
Why do not people see the need for a pegged currency to a mandible commodity?
Many of you have asked me what makes me think I know what I am talking about when I was refering to monetary policy. (Yes, I didnt write for two years and deleted all prior posts despite supporting my current opinions) I just submitted this to the Paul campaign as of 2:53 AM:
Dr. Paul, please I want you and everyone reading this, to correct me if I am wrong. I am an international finance major, who studied under (name omitted) at the University of Colorado at Boulder, who was a study of Milton Friedman at the University of Chicago. Although I disagree with a lot of what he (omitted professor) teaches, I believe in his monetary policy. We currently had a fiat standard, meaning our dollar chases the most traded commodity. I am a believer in the oil standard theory. Without oil, it would be coffee. Our dollar is currently pegged to oil, so all the other countries that have pegged their dollar to the U.S. dollar are being screwed. Not to mention OPEC who is currently mandated by their own laws to trade only in US dollars. So to keep demand for dollars high, we must keep the price of oil high, because if the price oil of falls, in dollars, our US dollar will collapse because it is artificially inflated by the mandate to trade in US dollars.
Currently our dollar is falling and they are begging to trade in Euros but are not allowed. Thus the reason why the US dollar AND gold are at all time highs.
I believe that bringing us back to a gold standard is correct. Yet some in the free markets see that our dollar is chasing the highest traded commodity. I do not see this as correct. Especially since we, through taxes pay close to nine dollars more a gallon in the mere instance to protect our shipments from pirates and other hostile governments.
There’s a reason why Europe pays more per gallon and its not because they pay the taxes to protect shipments. With Oil speculations at the rate they are and gold approaching $1000 dollars a day……… when I was in college, gold was worth its weight in pot. Now pot is cheaper then gold. But…… If we go off an oil standard to a coffee standard, how would American consumers survive? If not coffee, sugar. If not sugar, ink….. which the fed uses to print money.
Why do not people see the need for a pegged currency to a mandible commodity?
Friday, January 25, 2008
Mitt Romeny Fed Info at the Debate
I would like to bring to your attention an ammendment on my earlier post with Mitt Romney flip-flopping on whether he supports the ideals of Ronald Reagan. So you all saw that video, if not, scroll look it my blog history.
I was watching the Republican debate on MSNBC last night and noticed a blatant whisper to Romney when asked by Tim Russert whether he would implement the same strategy, in regards to social security, as Ronald Reagan did. I heard it both on the first and second broadcast of the debate and will stake my reputation as a blogger and individual that the whisper in the following YouTube video is legit.
Watch the video, draw your own conclusion from it.
-- Topher Lloyd
I was watching the Republican debate on MSNBC last night and noticed a blatant whisper to Romney when asked by Tim Russert whether he would implement the same strategy, in regards to social security, as Ronald Reagan did. I heard it both on the first and second broadcast of the debate and will stake my reputation as a blogger and individual that the whisper in the following YouTube video is legit.
Watch the video, draw your own conclusion from it.
-- Topher Lloyd
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Results On My Bets For The Debates
**Please note when refering to bets, it refers to a fantasy political market and no money was traded**
So I was both a winner and loser last night. I lost my bet that John Edwards would be asked the first question for the CNN Democratic Debate. Of course they came out of the gates with both Hillary’s hottest issue and the nations most troubling. So Hillary was asked immediately about the economic stimulus package. So I lost that bet.
That bet by the end of the debate was overwhelmingly offset by my predication that Hillary Clinton would mention her husband more then six times. To give her credit, after my “claim to fame comment below,” every time she mentioned her husband it was in response to a question or an attack. Yet, because there were specific questions on her husband’s role in the campaign, I won the bet hands down.
So I walked out of there 1-1. So I will be placing my bets soon on the results of the South Carolina Primary. I have a few shorts and a long in place but at no time are those set predictions, there are always better prices to be had and better leverage to obtain.
-- Topher Lloyd
So I was both a winner and loser last night. I lost my bet that John Edwards would be asked the first question for the CNN Democratic Debate. Of course they came out of the gates with both Hillary’s hottest issue and the nations most troubling. So Hillary was asked immediately about the economic stimulus package. So I lost that bet.
That bet by the end of the debate was overwhelmingly offset by my predication that Hillary Clinton would mention her husband more then six times. To give her credit, after my “claim to fame comment below,” every time she mentioned her husband it was in response to a question or an attack. Yet, because there were specific questions on her husband’s role in the campaign, I won the bet hands down.
So I walked out of there 1-1. So I will be placing my bets soon on the results of the South Carolina Primary. I have a few shorts and a long in place but at no time are those set predictions, there are always better prices to be had and better leverage to obtain.
-- Topher Lloyd
Monday, January 21, 2008
Bets On The Upcoming Democratic Presidential Debate
Because I have been recently laid off, below, when referring to bets, keep in mind it is through CNN’s political market and not Intrade. I have ceased all bets on the site for obvious reasons.
Both bets were on tonight’s debates. My first bet was the odds on who I think will be asked the first question and for this I placed it for John Edwards. My reason for this is that this past week, the Edwards’ campaign has accused the media of not giving them fair coverage and has been receiving more interviews from CNN. Also with the continuous mind-numbing drama between Obama and Clinton, the network isn’t going to start the debate with drama that will come naturally. So because of them, my bet is on Edwards being asked the first question.
The second bet was on the issue of how many times I think Hillary Clinton will mention her claim to fame husband, Bill Clinton. I bet on the max (6+) times in the debate because one, he is her claim to fame, and two she is continually bringing him up to inject the euphoria of the naturally occurring markets during Clinton administration. With the usual my husband remarks coupled with Bill Clinton’s opinions on Barack Obama and race, there will be a defensive stance taken buy Hillary on the nation stage.
We’ll see how these bets make out at 8 PM EST time on the CNN South Carolina Democratic Presidential Debates. Happy bashing all!
-- Topher Lloyd
Both bets were on tonight’s debates. My first bet was the odds on who I think will be asked the first question and for this I placed it for John Edwards. My reason for this is that this past week, the Edwards’ campaign has accused the media of not giving them fair coverage and has been receiving more interviews from CNN. Also with the continuous mind-numbing drama between Obama and Clinton, the network isn’t going to start the debate with drama that will come naturally. So because of them, my bet is on Edwards being asked the first question.
The second bet was on the issue of how many times I think Hillary Clinton will mention her claim to fame husband, Bill Clinton. I bet on the max (6+) times in the debate because one, he is her claim to fame, and two she is continually bringing him up to inject the euphoria of the naturally occurring markets during Clinton administration. With the usual my husband remarks coupled with Bill Clinton’s opinions on Barack Obama and race, there will be a defensive stance taken buy Hillary on the nation stage.
We’ll see how these bets make out at 8 PM EST time on the CNN South Carolina Democratic Presidential Debates. Happy bashing all!
-- Topher Lloyd
Saturday, January 19, 2008
1% of Vote, Declared Winner?
With not even 1% of the precincts in Nevada reporting, how the hell is the main stream media calling Mitt Romney the winner. Does anyone else take issue with this, especially with another primary being conducted across the country?
Friday, January 18, 2008
Social Security and Universal Healthcare
I would like to pose a question to the presidential candidates in regards to social security. With all this talk about universal health care and absolutely nothing in regards to the social security, how would you handle both programs when we cannot even handle one?
As of this year, baby boomers are beginning to retire and thus begins the crisis. In the next twenty years, 78 million people will be retiring, draining all the resources of this country. USA Today conducted a study and reached the conclusion that we would have to invest $58 trillion today in order to generate enough interest to meet the program's obligations.
Getting rid of the Bush tax cuts may sound great from a stump, yet in reality this would only result in a $500 billion yearly gain. So where are you going to get the other $57.5 trillion dollars? Removing our presence over seas would result in a $1 trillion which would leave us at $56.5 trillion deficit in needed funding.
So my question to you is, how would you fix social security for those baby boomers that have paid into it all of their lives? How can you keep social security afloat meanwhile dreaming of a universal healthcare program?
As with all communism and socialism, it all comes to an end. It certainly seems that socialism (when looking at the accounting) is dead but we all know we cannot get rid of those pesky democrats that buy votes.
As of this year, baby boomers are beginning to retire and thus begins the crisis. In the next twenty years, 78 million people will be retiring, draining all the resources of this country. USA Today conducted a study and reached the conclusion that we would have to invest $58 trillion today in order to generate enough interest to meet the program's obligations.
Getting rid of the Bush tax cuts may sound great from a stump, yet in reality this would only result in a $500 billion yearly gain. So where are you going to get the other $57.5 trillion dollars? Removing our presence over seas would result in a $1 trillion which would leave us at $56.5 trillion deficit in needed funding.
So my question to you is, how would you fix social security for those baby boomers that have paid into it all of their lives? How can you keep social security afloat meanwhile dreaming of a universal healthcare program?
As with all communism and socialism, it all comes to an end. It certainly seems that socialism (when looking at the accounting) is dead but we all know we cannot get rid of those pesky democrats that buy votes.
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Utility to its max
For those of you that are highly interested in politics I want to recommend I very good site on legislation. For those of you that aren’t too political, I feel it’s just as useful.
Govtrack.us is a remarkable site. It is so detailed and in depth that I thought it was an actual government website but we all know a governmental website could never be so user friendly as this site. It is “an independent, non-partisan, non-commercial website founded in September 2004.” The site offers everything from daily roll call to legislators’ statement of earnings. It’s quite remarkable.
Although usually a day behind, it offers every motion and vote. Any legislator’s voting record for the past ten years, the attendance record, historical breakdown of campaign contributors, bills sponsored or co-sponsored by any candidate, the status and committee assignments of all bills proposed are all offered there. I could go on for hours and I have yet to explore all of its features!
I implore you to check it out, or at least looking up your local legislator. I will be placing a link over here ----------------------- >
GovTrack.us
-- Topher Lloyd
Govtrack.us is a remarkable site. It is so detailed and in depth that I thought it was an actual government website but we all know a governmental website could never be so user friendly as this site. It is “an independent, non-partisan, non-commercial website founded in September 2004.” The site offers everything from daily roll call to legislators’ statement of earnings. It’s quite remarkable.
Although usually a day behind, it offers every motion and vote. Any legislator’s voting record for the past ten years, the attendance record, historical breakdown of campaign contributors, bills sponsored or co-sponsored by any candidate, the status and committee assignments of all bills proposed are all offered there. I could go on for hours and I have yet to explore all of its features!
I implore you to check it out, or at least looking up your local legislator. I will be placing a link over here ----------------------- >
-- Topher Lloyd
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
Posting my brains out today
Media Blackout of Republican Candidate Ron Paul?
Since the New Hampshire Primaries and Fox News debate, there has been a complete blackout of Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul. Fred Thompson and Rudy Giuliani continue to get widespread coverage. What is it about Ron Paul that cause the media to mock and criticize him?
As the most famous Libertarian and raising $20 million dollars in the fourth quarter, the media has stopped mentioning Ron Paul. Perhaps after the result of the Nevada caucuses and South Carolina primary, the media may spend more time on Dr. Paul? Who knows but I feel after the Fox News debacle in New Hampshire and current blackout, all the remaining candidates should receive a fair chance which is being denied currently to Ron Paul.
Let me know your thoughts.
-- Topher Lloyd
As the most famous Libertarian and raising $20 million dollars in the fourth quarter, the media has stopped mentioning Ron Paul. Perhaps after the result of the Nevada caucuses and South Carolina primary, the media may spend more time on Dr. Paul? Who knows but I feel after the Fox News debacle in New Hampshire and current blackout, all the remaining candidates should receive a fair chance which is being denied currently to Ron Paul.
Let me know your thoughts.
-- Topher Lloyd
Current Solutions to Fight Global Poverty Are Misdirected
Early view on RealClearPolitics.com
After briefly looking through Fox News’ website one day, I noticed that they use RealClearPolitics.com as a way of polling. I want it to be known that in no way do I trust Fox News Corps. I consider them to be a very manipulative and propagandist organization with egomaniacs giving us so called “fair and balanced” facts that tend to be more spun opinions then facts.
With that said, I have compared the results of RealClearPolitics.com polls to the actual vote tally in the states that have already voted. All of the data I am using are the overall averages of all the polls taken within those state. These are the main numbers that the site uses and I too feel this is the best way of observing the data. Bear in mind that these states do hold open primaries, meaning party affiliation does not affect the primary that you may vote, so this initial analysis will be skewed.
RCP.com for the Republicans seems to average a 2.37 differential from the polling data averages and the actual count as the data below shows. Please note the order of the candidates are in the order of the Michigan results and in no way reflect personal views.
Michigan
Poll Actual Difference
Romney 29 38.9 9.9
McCain 26.3 29.7 3.4
Hukabee 16.3 16.1 -0.2
Paul 5.8 6.3 .5
Thompson 5 3.7 -1.3
Giuliani 4.2 2.8 -1.4
Average(Absolute Value): 2.78
New Hampshire
Poll Actual Difference
Romney 28.2 31.5 3.3
McCain 31.8 37 5.2
Hukabee 12.2 11.2 -1
Paul 8.2 7.7 -0.5
Thompson 2.2 1.2 -1
Giuliani 9.3 8.5 -0.8
Average(Absolute Value): 1.97
Iowa
Poll Actual Difference
Romney 26.7 25.3 -1.4
McCain 11.8 13.1 1.3
Hukabee 29.7 34.3 4.6
Paul 7.3 10 2.7
Thompson 11.7 13.4 1.7
Giuliani 6 3.5 -2.5 2.37
Average(Absolute Value): 2.37
Overall Iowa matches the average difference of the three states. Do not draw any conclusions from the data because these states did hold open primaries and New Hampshire has begun a recount of the votes this morning. I will update these figures when the results of the New Hampshire recount flow in.
We all know how polls are rather worthless because of Frank Luntz. If you do not know who he is, see the video below. But these polls are what the news and political pundits are reporting on and people must be informed of any conflicting coverage or opinions.
-- Topher Lloyd
With that said, I have compared the results of RealClearPolitics.com polls to the actual vote tally in the states that have already voted. All of the data I am using are the overall averages of all the polls taken within those state. These are the main numbers that the site uses and I too feel this is the best way of observing the data. Bear in mind that these states do hold open primaries, meaning party affiliation does not affect the primary that you may vote, so this initial analysis will be skewed.
RCP.com for the Republicans seems to average a 2.37 differential from the polling data averages and the actual count as the data below shows. Please note the order of the candidates are in the order of the Michigan results and in no way reflect personal views.
Michigan
Poll Actual Difference
Romney 29 38.9 9.9
McCain 26.3 29.7 3.4
Hukabee 16.3 16.1 -0.2
Paul 5.8 6.3 .5
Thompson 5 3.7 -1.3
Giuliani 4.2 2.8 -1.4
Average(Absolute Value): 2.78
New Hampshire
Poll Actual Difference
Romney 28.2 31.5 3.3
McCain 31.8 37 5.2
Hukabee 12.2 11.2 -1
Paul 8.2 7.7 -0.5
Thompson 2.2 1.2 -1
Giuliani 9.3 8.5 -0.8
Average(Absolute Value): 1.97
Iowa
Poll Actual Difference
Romney 26.7 25.3 -1.4
McCain 11.8 13.1 1.3
Hukabee 29.7 34.3 4.6
Paul 7.3 10 2.7
Thompson 11.7 13.4 1.7
Giuliani 6 3.5 -2.5 2.37
Average(Absolute Value): 2.37
Overall Iowa matches the average difference of the three states. Do not draw any conclusions from the data because these states did hold open primaries and New Hampshire has begun a recount of the votes this morning. I will update these figures when the results of the New Hampshire recount flow in.
We all know how polls are rather worthless because of Frank Luntz. If you do not know who he is, see the video below. But these polls are what the news and political pundits are reporting on and people must be informed of any conflicting coverage or opinions.
-- Topher Lloyd
My Delegate Widget Stinks
So apparently my widget that shows the delegate count isn’t as accurate as I would like. For one it is adding ghost delegates from states that were stripped of delegates for violating party rules. I have been searching for an accurate widget to no avail. If anyone has any suggestions, please let me know.
-- Topher Lloyd
-- Topher Lloyd
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
Possible Strategic Opportunity?
With no delegates being awarded to Michigan, you could make the poor assumption that the Michigan primary does not matter to the democrats. The primaries are a marathon for the parties. Each candidate strategizing, taking ground, losing ground, until the end of the race. So how could Michigan factor in to the overall strategy for the marathon?
You could say the popular vote will matter for the democrats and it will. Perhaps a decent strategy for Michigan democrats would be to vote in the Republican primary. Michigan has open primaries, meaning party affiliation does not prevent you from voting for any specific candidate.
With that known, can the saying “the enemy of my enemy is my friend,” hold true in Michigan? Perhaps the voters could use this chance to step over the isle and cast a vote for the Republicans. This could potentially be a chance to bump up the second tier republican candidates. By voting for a candidate the democrats believe to be unelectable and giving them more delegates, the democrats could put a wrench in the republican delegate standings. Voting for the last place candidates such as Ron Paul, Fred Thompson, or Rudy Giuliani, the democrats could theoretically cause the race to split open, thus increasing the chances of running against someone they feel to be unelectable.
Will this happen, who knows? I am sure the campaigns who have withdrawn their ballots such as Barack Obama and John Edwards have taken this into consideration. This strategy would be difficult to execute because people may not want to take time out of their day to go vote but it’s a possibility. We’ll see tonight when the results flow in.
As always,
-- Topher Lloyd
You could say the popular vote will matter for the democrats and it will. Perhaps a decent strategy for Michigan democrats would be to vote in the Republican primary. Michigan has open primaries, meaning party affiliation does not prevent you from voting for any specific candidate.
With that known, can the saying “the enemy of my enemy is my friend,” hold true in Michigan? Perhaps the voters could use this chance to step over the isle and cast a vote for the Republicans. This could potentially be a chance to bump up the second tier republican candidates. By voting for a candidate the democrats believe to be unelectable and giving them more delegates, the democrats could put a wrench in the republican delegate standings. Voting for the last place candidates such as Ron Paul, Fred Thompson, or Rudy Giuliani, the democrats could theoretically cause the race to split open, thus increasing the chances of running against someone they feel to be unelectable.
Will this happen, who knows? I am sure the campaigns who have withdrawn their ballots such as Barack Obama and John Edwards have taken this into consideration. This strategy would be difficult to execute because people may not want to take time out of their day to go vote but it’s a possibility. We’ll see tonight when the results flow in.
As always,
-- Topher Lloyd
Poor Judgment by the DNC in Michigan
With the Michigan primary under way the media’s focus has mainly been on the republican side. With the Democratic National Committee (DNC) stripping Michigan of ALL of its delegates, Michigan frankly does not matter to the Media. Should it? Yes.
With Michigan already in deep recession, the voters’ opinions will reflect those of the rest of the country in November. By November, the country will be further in recession then what our blind Fed and far too optimistic president state. By looking at the Michigan popular vote, you will be able to see which democratic candidate platform offers the most comfort to Michiganders.
This is a poor move by the DNC to deny any say by its people in Michigan, over who the next nominee will be. All this because of what? Moving the primary up? Poor move in my opinion. But then again, opinions are like assholes, everyone has them and they all stink.
Look for a poor democratic turn out or perhaps not?
-- Topher Lloyd
With Michigan already in deep recession, the voters’ opinions will reflect those of the rest of the country in November. By November, the country will be further in recession then what our blind Fed and far too optimistic president state. By looking at the Michigan popular vote, you will be able to see which democratic candidate platform offers the most comfort to Michiganders.
This is a poor move by the DNC to deny any say by its people in Michigan, over who the next nominee will be. All this because of what? Moving the primary up? Poor move in my opinion. But then again, opinions are like assholes, everyone has them and they all stink.
Look for a poor democratic turn out or perhaps not?
-- Topher Lloyd
Sunday, January 13, 2008
Free Political Futures
I came across this last week during the New Hampshire primaries and didn’t even think to share it with you. Here’s a cool feature from CNN for those of you obsessed with politics. Consider it the free Intrade.com or Tradesports.com . Check it out, you’ll find yourself quickly addicted to it!
CNN Political Market
-- Topher Lloyd
CNN Political Market
-- Topher Lloyd
Friday, January 11, 2008
A Full Blow New Hampshire Recount
In the wake of the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries with Michigan’s fast approaching, the media has been quick to pass judgment on winners. Predictions based on all of 6% of the primaries being complete. Or are they?
As of this afternoon, a press release by William M. Gardner, Secretary of State of New Hampshire, has issued a statewide recount for both parties on behalf of Albert Howard and Dennis Kucinich. Both candidates must pay the costs of the recount due to the stipulation of needing a one percent difference of the winner (RSA 660:6). Howard is receiving help from a grassroots source, which I shall keep private, which paid the costs of airfare and estimated $65,000 for the recount fee.
The recount will do little for both Howard and Kucinich. This development, in fact, bodes well for Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, possibly leading to vindication for Ron Paul.
Whether or not the recount helps any particular candidate, the American people are the winners from today’s recount, due to commence on Wednesday, January 16th. An election of any scale is seriously in ruins if any doubt can be cast on legitimacy. Democracy will be tested. Foul play may surface in some distant future. Only time will tell but as Americans, we should all keep an open eye to the developments of this story.
-- Topher Lloyd
As of this afternoon, a press release by William M. Gardner, Secretary of State of New Hampshire, has issued a statewide recount for both parties on behalf of Albert Howard and Dennis Kucinich. Both candidates must pay the costs of the recount due to the stipulation of needing a one percent difference of the winner (RSA 660:6). Howard is receiving help from a grassroots source, which I shall keep private, which paid the costs of airfare and estimated $65,000 for the recount fee.
The recount will do little for both Howard and Kucinich. This development, in fact, bodes well for Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, possibly leading to vindication for Ron Paul.
Whether or not the recount helps any particular candidate, the American people are the winners from today’s recount, due to commence on Wednesday, January 16th. An election of any scale is seriously in ruins if any doubt can be cast on legitimacy. Democracy will be tested. Foul play may surface in some distant future. Only time will tell but as Americans, we should all keep an open eye to the developments of this story.
-- Topher Lloyd
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
