Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Florida and The Upcoming Debate

The test has come and Rudy Giuliani is sitting nervously, tapping his chair with his foot. Looking down at his desk, rolling his pencil back and forth, desperately avoiding the inevitable bell that will soon ring, can he make a showing? With hints that Mike Huckabee and Rudy Giuliani dropping out of the race, will the two candidates attend tomorrow’s CNN Super Tuesday debate? If they plan to drop out, I highly encourage that the two do not eat away at precious debate time from the remaining candidates.

Lets face it, Rudy Giuliani’s campaign is broke, his coffers depleted on the Florida primary. With his inevitable poor showing, the only option to be had, is that of dropping out of the race. Will he selfishly take up debate time?

Mike Huckabee, like Giuliani’s campaign, is also scraping bottom. With a surprise showing in Iowa, all the remaining states has barely helped him out. If he would’ve had a strong showing through fundraising, he would be able to continue to compete. Yet, he didn’t so will he continue further with the campaign?

Will we receive the news from the campaigns tonight, on whether they are staying in? Will the continue to waste debate time with lame jokes about Easter eggs and the phrase 911.

I guess we shall see. I am no pundit and am not an expert. This is all speculation.

So Glad The Clinton's Lost

I know that this comes a few days late, yet I must say, I am so glad Barack Obama won the South Carolina primary. By won, as you all very well know, was defined by a 28 percent margin. I am not a Democrat so this does not affect me really. It’s just that I felt what the Clintons did with the South Carolina primary on the horizon, was uncalled for. It showed they are willing to pit people against one another (or so they thought) for their own personal gain.

I know it is more unlikely in today’s Florida primary for a victory to emerge in favor of Barack Obama. With a trailing polling deficit of 24 percent, victory will be extremely difficult. One could only hope that people could see through the Clinton machine for who they really are.

-- Topher Lloyd

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Fiat Money Chasing Oil

***Parts have been ammended for clarity, although not affect the point***

Many of you have asked me what makes me think I know what I am talking about when I was refering to monetary policy. (Yes, I didnt write for two years and deleted all prior posts despite supporting my current opinions) I just submitted this to the Paul campaign as of 2:53 AM:

Dr. Paul, please I want you and everyone reading this, to correct me if I am wrong. I am an international finance major, who studied under (name omitted) at the University of Colorado at Boulder, who was a study of Milton Friedman at the University of Chicago. Although I disagree with a lot of what he (omitted professor) teaches, I believe in his monetary policy. We currently had a fiat standard, meaning our dollar chases the most traded commodity. I am a believer in the oil standard theory. Without oil, it would be coffee. Our dollar is currently pegged to oil, so all the other countries that have pegged their dollar to the U.S. dollar are being screwed. Not to mention OPEC who is currently mandated by their own laws to trade only in US dollars. So to keep demand for dollars high, we must keep the price of oil high, because if the price oil of falls, in dollars, our US dollar will collapse because it is artificially inflated by the mandate to trade in US dollars.


Currently our dollar is falling and they are begging to trade in Euros but are not allowed. Thus the reason why the US dollar AND gold are at all time highs.


I believe that bringing us back to a gold standard is correct. Yet some in the free markets see that our dollar is chasing the highest traded commodity. I do not see this as correct. Especially since we, through taxes pay close to nine dollars more a gallon in the mere instance to protect our shipments from pirates and other hostile governments.

There’s a reason why Europe pays more per gallon and its not because they pay the taxes to protect shipments. With Oil speculations at the rate they are and gold approaching $1000 dollars a day……… when I was in college, gold was worth its weight in pot. Now pot is cheaper then gold. But…… If we go off an oil standard to a coffee standard, how would American consumers survive? If not coffee, sugar. If not sugar, ink….. which the fed uses to print money.


Why do not people see the need for a pegged currency to a mandible commodity?

Friday, January 25, 2008

Mitt Romeny Fed Info at the Debate

I would like to bring to your attention an ammendment on my earlier post with Mitt Romney flip-flopping on whether he supports the ideals of Ronald Reagan. So you all saw that video, if not, scroll look it my blog history.

I was watching the Republican debate on MSNBC last night and noticed a blatant whisper to Romney when asked by Tim Russert whether he would implement the same strategy, in regards to social security, as Ronald Reagan did. I heard it both on the first and second broadcast of the debate and will stake my reputation as a blogger and individual that the whisper in the following YouTube video is legit.

Watch the video, draw your own conclusion from it.












-- Topher Lloyd

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Results On My Bets For The Debates

**Please note when refering to bets, it refers to a fantasy political market and no money was traded**

So I was both a winner and loser last night. I lost my bet that John Edwards would be asked the first question for the CNN Democratic Debate. Of course they came out of the gates with both Hillary’s hottest issue and the nations most troubling. So Hillary was asked immediately about the economic stimulus package. So I lost that bet.

That bet by the end of the debate was overwhelmingly offset by my predication that Hillary Clinton would mention her husband more then six times. To give her credit, after my “claim to fame comment below,” every time she mentioned her husband it was in response to a question or an attack. Yet, because there were specific questions on her husband’s role in the campaign, I won the bet hands down.

So I walked out of there 1-1. So I will be placing my bets soon on the results of the South Carolina Primary. I have a few shorts and a long in place but at no time are those set predictions, there are always better prices to be had and better leverage to obtain.

-- Topher Lloyd

Monday, January 21, 2008

Bets On The Upcoming Democratic Presidential Debate

Because I have been recently laid off, below, when referring to bets, keep in mind it is through CNN’s political market and not Intrade. I have ceased all bets on the site for obvious reasons.

Both bets were on tonight’s debates. My first bet was the odds on who I think will be asked the first question and for this I placed it for John Edwards. My reason for this is that this past week, the Edwards’ campaign has accused the media of not giving them fair coverage and has been receiving more interviews from CNN. Also with the continuous mind-numbing drama between Obama and Clinton, the network isn’t going to start the debate with drama that will come naturally. So because of them, my bet is on Edwards being asked the first question.

The second bet was on the issue of how many times I think Hillary Clinton will mention her claim to fame husband, Bill Clinton. I bet on the max (6+) times in the debate because one, he is her claim to fame, and two she is continually bringing him up to inject the euphoria of the naturally occurring markets during Clinton administration. With the usual my husband remarks coupled with Bill Clinton’s opinions on Barack Obama and race, there will be a defensive stance taken buy Hillary on the nation stage.

We’ll see how these bets make out at 8 PM EST time on the CNN South Carolina Democratic Presidential Debates. Happy bashing all!

-- Topher Lloyd

Saturday, January 19, 2008

1% of Vote, Declared Winner?

With not even 1% of the precincts in Nevada reporting, how the hell is the main stream media calling Mitt Romney the winner. Does anyone else take issue with this, especially with another primary being conducted across the country?